| 1,071 | 100 | 423 |
| 下载次数 | 被引频次 | 阅读次数 |
结合服务贸易特征,本文探讨了基础设施影响服务出口品质(服务出口技术复杂度)的机制,并借鉴Mishra等(2011)所构造的指标进行了经验验证。结果表明,基础设施规模与质量稳健提高了各国的服务出口品质,而且基础设施规模对中国服务出口品质提升具有较好解释力;另外,人力资本、市场潜力也同时对服务出口品质的提升起到积极作用;长期FDI会对东道国服务企业的技术进步产生"挤出效应";丰裕的自然资源虽然为提升服务出口品质提供物质保障,但自然资源诅咒确实存在。
Abstract:The paper investigates the relationship between infrastructure and service export sophistication( SES). By using index from Hausmann et al.( 2007) and Mishra et al.( 2011),it computes the SES of 58 countries. After using GMM method,the results show that the scale and quality of infrastructure obviously increase the SES,in addition,the human capital and market potential have the positive effects. Although the inflow FDI can increase the SES,the aggregated effects of inflow FDI can restrain the technology increasing of domestic service companies. In despite of the vast material guarantee that abundant natural resource has been contributed,it also can have the curse effects.
[1]杨汝岱,姚洋.有限赶超与经济增长.经济研究,2008(8).
[2]戴翔.服务贸易出口技术复杂度与经济增长——基于跨国面板数据的实证分析.南开经济研究,2011(3).
[3]盛丹等.基础设施对中国企业出口行为的影响:“集约边际”还是“扩展边际.世界经济,2011(1).
[4]王永进等.基础设施如何提升了出口技术复杂度.经济研究,2010(7).
[5]Amiti,M.,C.Freund.The Anatomy of China's Export Growth.Policy Research Working Paper,Series 4628,2008,The World Bank.
[6]Arellano.M.,Bover,O..Another Look at the Instrumental Variable Estimation of Error-Component Models.Journal of Econometrics,1995,68(1):29-51.
[7]Barro R.J.,Lee J.W..A New Data Set of Educational Attainment in the World,1950~2010.NBER Working Papers15902,2010,National Bureau of Economic Research,Inc.
[8]Blundell R.,S.R.Bond.Initial Conditions and Moment Restrications in Dynamic Panel Data Models.Journal of Econometrics,1998,87(1):115-143.
[9]Bougheas S.,Demetriades P.,Morgenroth E..Infrastructure,Transport Costs and Trade,Journal of International Economics,1999,47(1):169-189.
[10]Chanda R..Inter-Modal Linkages in Services Trade.OECD Trade Policy Working Paper,No.30,2004.
[11]Chaney,T..Distorted Gravity:The Intensive and Extensive Margins of International Trade.American Economic Review,2008,98(4):1707-1721.
[12]Francois J.,Manchin M..Institutions,Infrastructure and Trade.World Bank Policy Research working paper,No.4152,2007.
[13]Freund C.,Weinhold D..The Internet and International Trade in Services.The American Economic Review,2002,92(2):236-240.
[14]Gable S.L.,Mishra S..Service Export Sophistication and Europe's New Growth Model.The World Bank,Policy Research Working Paper 5793,2011
[15]Hausmann,R.,J.Hwang,D.Rodrik.What You Export Matters.Journal of Economic Growth,2007,12(1):1-25.
[16]Head,K.,T.Mayer.Market Potential and the Location of Japanese Investment in the European Union.Review of Economics and Statistics,2004,86(4):959-972.
[17]Hoekman B.,Mattoo A..Services Trade and Growth.Policy Research Working Paper Series,No.4461,The World Bank,2008.
[18]Huang,Rocco R..Disbance and Trade:Disentangling Unfamiliarity Effects and Transport Cost Effects.European Economic Review,2007,51(1):161-181.
[19]Lai R..Does Public Infrastructure Reduce Private Inventory?,MPRA Paper,No.4756,2006.
[20]Mayer T..Market Potential and Development.CEPWorking Paper,No.2009(24).
[21]Melitz,M.J..The Impact of Trade on Intra-industry Reallocations and Aggregate Industry Productivity.Econometrica,2003,71(6):695-725.
[22]Mirza,D.,Nicoletti G..Is There Something Special About Trade in Services?OECD,mimeo,2004.
[23]Mishra S.,Lundstrom S.,Anand R..Service Export Sophistication and Economic Growth.Policy Research Working Paper Series,No.5606,The World Bank,2011.
[24]Redding,S.,A.Venables.Economic Geography and International Inequality.Journal of International Economics,2004,62(1):53-82.
①科技的快速进步使得服务的可贸易性得到不断提升,从而衍生出大量更为复杂、品质更高的服务,生产并出口这些服务必然会对经济增长和技术进步产生明显的促进作用,因此成为各国特别是发展中国家促进本国经济增长的一条独特途径。
①其中,PRODYi为服务产品i的技术复杂度指数,sic是国家c的服务产品i的出口占该国服务出口总额的比重,Yc为国家c的人均收入水平,通常以实际人均GDP来表示。
①联合国贸发会议统计数据库(UNCTAD Statistics)中对服务贸易项的分类主要包括运输、旅游、通信服务、建筑服务、保险服务、金融服务、计算机和信息服务、专利和特许费、其他商业服务、个人文化和娱乐服务、政府服务共11类。由于我们主要关注的是商业服务,因此剔除了政府服务而采取了余下10类分项。
②这58个国家(地区)分别是:Argentina、Australia、Austria、Belgium、Brazil、Canada、Chile、China、Hong Kong、Columbia、Cyprus、Czech Republic、Denmark、Dominican Republic、Egypt、Finland、France、Germany、Greece、Hungary、Iceland、India、Indonesia、Ireland、Israel、Italia、Jamaica、Japan、Kenya、Korea、Luxembourg、Malaysia、Mexico、Morocco、Netherlands、New Zealand、Nigeria、Norway、Pakistan、Panama、Philippines、Poland、Portugal、Romania、Russian Federation、Saudi Arabia、Singapore、South Africa、Spain、Sweden、Switzerland、Thailand、Tunisia、Turkey、United Kingdom、United States、Venezuela.
③公路基础设施与铁路基础设施对服务出口品质的作用可参考下述回归结果。
①在动态面板数据回归中,由于人力资本数据缺失的原因,加入滞后项后样本量过少,造成回归结果并不稳定健,因此在回归中删去人力资本变量。
②除了表4中对公路质量方程进行回归时,用HM方法计算得到的总体市场潜力的回归系数为负,但用RV方法计算得到的总体市场潜力的回归系数为正。
①在动态面板数据回归中,由于人力资本数据缺失的原因,因此造成回归结果并不稳定健,因此在回归中删去人力资本变量。
基本信息:
DOI:10.13516/j.cnki.wes.2013.12.007
中图分类号:F752.68
引用信息:
[1]蒙英华,裴瑱.基础设施对服务出口品质的影响研究[J].世界经济研究,2013,No.238(12):32-38+85.DOI:10.13516/j.cnki.wes.2013.12.007.
基金信息:
蒙英华主持的2014年上海市教育委员会科研创新项目“区域服务贸易安排如何影响FDI选择”(项目编号:14YS135);; 2010年教育部人文社会科学青年项目“中国对外文化业产业内贸易的决定因素、模式与政策研究”(项目编号:10YJC790192)资助的系列成果之一